The Infallible NFL Week 3 Straight Picks

Another week of decent picks led to an overall record of 10-6. While there were a few more surprises, we are beginning to get a decent idea of what teams really have going for them at this point. A few injuries of note may slow some offenses, but there aren’t many injuries that have been finalized as of yet. So with all that is in mind as of right now, these are the picks for the third week of the season.

Last Week 10-6, Overall 20-12

Tampa Bay at Atlanta. Atlanta has a good offense and a bad defense while Tampa Bay has a shaky offense and a better than average defense. Unless Josh McCown can make something happen quickly and Doug Martin can stay healthy, the Bucs are in for another long season. Roddy White is out but that doesn’t mean Julio Jones and Harry Douglas won’t still have big days. Atlanta 30, Tampa Bay 17

San Diego at Buffalo. The Chargers have come out playing good ball so far. Two close games and the good version of Philip Rivers is what Bolt fans like to see. Buffalo has won their first two games and are playing great on defense. If CJ Spiller can continue to show a burst in the hole then this will be another close game. San Diego 24, Buffalo 20

Tennessee at Cincinnati. When AJ Green went out of the first quarter last week the Cincinnati Bengals must have been worried. Luckily, he won’t be out past this game and next week is a bye. Giovani Bernard has been great so far and I think that’s all they will need against the Titans. Cincinnati 28, Tennessee 13

Baltimore at Cleveland. Did anyone watch the Thursday night game in Baltimore last week? Wow. I saw it in person and I still can’t believe that happened. Divisional games are never usually that one-sided. And like last season, expect Cleveland to play another tough game against the Ravens. The run game will be important for both teams as Terrance West will look to shoulder the load again and Bernard Pierce will look for some consistency after a very impressive Week 2. If Torrey Smith outshines Steve Smith it could be a long game for the Brownies. Baltimore 34, Cleveland 23

Dallas at St. Louis. The Cowboys have the offense capable of making a mark, but there is still no defense. Can the Rams run the ball effectively and maybe even get a decent passing game going? These are all questions in what should be an interesting game. This is just one of a handful of games where I think the team with the better defense will win. St. Louis 17, Dallas 13

Green Bay at Detroit. Both of these teams are frustratingly talented but neither has found much of a rhythm in their first two games. The potential to see a shoot-out is always there, but the reality is that this divisional game will come down to the stouter of the two defenses. While the Lions have the better long-term prospectus due to a mammoth defensive front, the Packers are playing the best so far. Green Bay 31, Detroit 30

Indianapolis at Jacksonville. As far as no-brainers go in the NFL, this shouldn’t be a close game. The Jags have always had a solid run game. With a new offense, that’s not as much the case and the Colts are going to win a scoring contest. Indianapolis 45, Jacksonville 24

Oakland at New England. If the Raiders were playing at home I could see this game being a lot closer, but the Patriots just have too much to prove right now to think that Bill Bellichick will let this game get too close. New England 37, Oakland 10

Might see a lot of this on Sunday.

Minnesota at New Orleans. This is the absolute wrong time for the Vikings to play the Saints. Unlike the Ravens and Ray Rice, Adrian Peterson is the best player on the Vikings and it’s not even close. Matt Asiata is doing a solid job filling in but it’s a joke to think that he can play the same role in the offense that Minnesota still needs out of their running back. Drew Brees is going to have a field day in this one. New Orleans 41, Minnesota 17

Houston at New York Giants. New York needs something good to happen. Houston has been playing great on both sides of ball. But this is Eli Manning. He’s won two Super Bowls. Maybe he really has lost it. But better judgment can conclude that he’s not that far away. Or in the very least, the Giants just aren’t that talented. Still, this is a home game and the Texans won’t go undefeated. New York Giants 16, Houston 14

Washington at Philadelphia. Both teams come in off of great offensive performances. While the Skins have the better defense, the Eagles have more weapons on offense and the speed to make this one a no-content quickly. If Washington can slow down the game with Alfred Morris running the ball then Philadelphia will have no choice but to play accordingly. I can’t bet against Darren Sproles. Philadelphia 35, Washington 31

San Francisco at Arizona. Even without Carson Palmer the Cardinals have proven that they can win. This is a really good division that Arizona could win if they string together enough good games. The 49ers haven’t been as impressive on D as most would have expected and the offense is still taking some time to gel. If there’s a time for Andre Ellington’s “arrival”, this is it. Arizona 27, San Francisco 24

Hope the Broncos can hear Peyton over the 12th man.
Hope the Broncos can hear Peyton over the 12th man.

Denver at Seattle. In a rematch of last year’s Super Bowl there’s plenty of changeover on the rosters and yet there are plenty of constants. The most obvious, Denver has a great offense and Seattle has a great defense. What the Seahawks didn’t have in full-effect in the last meeting? Their home crowd. Peyton Manning is all about calling audibles at the line of scrimmage. If he can’t hear himself, what will it matter? Seattle 21, Denver 17

Kansas City at Miami. Losing Jamaal Charles won’t help this team any, but coming to play a Miami team that has look impressive in their first two games really won’t help. Still, there’s enough talent on the Chiefs roster to compete and Miami is young enough that they are bound to drop a couple games that make you wonder how it happened. This will be one of those such games. Kansas City 23, Miami 21

Pittsburgh at Carolina. After last week the Steelers have a lot make up for in terms of effort and consistency. The Panthers, however, won’t make it easy and neither will their highly-rated defense. Pittsburgh will score some points but their defense is just too old and mediocre to handle a mobile quarterback like Cam Newton in the prime of his career. Carolina 28, Pittsburgh 20

Chicago at New York Jets. Had the Bears lost last week it would have been tough to bet against them this week. Chicago continues to struggle early in games. But this isn’t the kind of game where they are likely to fall behind quickly so they should be fine. Matt Forte might not have the game most would hope for and Brandon Marshall has enough touchdown catches in the 4th quarter last week to last a week or two, but the Jets just don’t have anyone that scares me. Their two-headed backfield of Chris Johnson and Chris Ivory is okay, but Eric Decker isn’t an elite receiver. Chicago 38, New York Jets 17

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